Model probability minus DraftKings vig-removed implied, threshold 4%. The line is not treated as ground truth. A flag means disagreement, not a bet.
Heavyweight
Spivac vs Petrino
Model Spivac 45% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Spivac 62.2% vs model 45.2% · Petrino 37.8% vs 54.8%
Featherweight
Barbosa vs Kuse
Model Barbosa 44% · low confidence
DK no-vig Barbosa 59.6% vs model 43.8% · Kuse 40.4% vs 56.2%
Light Heavyweight
Ce vs Tafa
Model Ce 58% · low confidence
DK no-vig Ce 42.0% vs model 57.9% · Tafa 58.0% vs 42.1%
Light Heavyweight
de Ridder vs Dolidze
Model de Ridder 51% · low confidence
DK no-vig de Ridder 65.1% vs model 50.7% · Dolidze 34.9% vs 49.3%
Women's Strawweight
Xiaonan vs Gomes
Model Xiaonan 49% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Xiaonan 62.2% vs model 48.7% · Gomes 37.8% vs 51.3%
Bantamweight · 5 rds
Nurmagomedov vs Yadong
Model Nurmagomedov 66% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Nurmagomedov 78.6% vs model 65.9% · Yadong 21.4% vs 34.1%
Lightweight
Jones vs Hooker
Model Jones 49% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Jones 36.5% vs model 48.7% · Hooker 63.5% vs 51.3%
Middleweight
Page vs Ruziboev
Model Page 46% · low confidence
DK no-vig Page 58.0% vs model 46.1% · Ruziboev 42.0% vs 53.9%
Featherweight
Emmers vs Douglas
Model Emmers 41% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Emmers 53.2% vs model 41.4% · Douglas 46.8% vs 58.6%
Lightweight
Padilla vs Haqparast
Model Padilla 50% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Padilla 38.6% vs model 50.4% · Haqparast 61.4% vs 49.6%
Bantamweight
Qileng vs Asakura
Model Qileng 23% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Qileng 34.2% vs model 22.6% · Asakura 65.8% vs 77.5%
Lightweight
van Steenis vs Watley
Model van Steenis 50% · low confidence
DK no-vig van Steenis 59.9% vs model 50.0% · Watley 40.1% vs 50.0%
Bantamweight
Lineker vs Andrade
Model Lineker 46% · low confidence
DK no-vig Lineker 56.2% vs model 46.4% · Andrade 43.8% vs 53.6%
Lightweight · 5 rds
Hooker vs Parnasse
Model Hooker 45% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Hooker 54.3% vs model 44.6% · Parnasse 45.7% vs 55.4%
Welterweight · 5 rds
Buckley vs Malott
Model Buckley 52% · low confidence
DK no-vig Buckley 61.4% vs model 51.7% · Malott 38.6% vs 48.3%
Lightweight
Zellhuber vs Ruffy
Model Zellhuber 33% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Zellhuber 42.0% vs model 32.6% · Ruffy 58.0% vs 67.5%
Women's Flyweight
Judice vs Chaves
Model Judice 48% · low confidence
DK no-vig Judice 56.2% vs model 47.8% · Chaves 43.8% vs 52.2%
Flyweight
Wakamatsu vs Takenaka
Model Wakamatsu 46% · low confidence
DK no-vig Wakamatsu 54.3% vs model 46.0% · Takenaka 45.7% vs 54.0%
Featherweight
Charrière vs Lima
Model Charrière 31% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Charrière 39.3% vs model 31.1% · Lima 60.7% vs 68.9%
Bantamweight
Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos
Model Rosas Jr. 55% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Rosas Jr. 63.0% vs model 55.0% · Barcelos 37.0% vs 45.0%
Flyweight
Moreno vs Morales
Model Moreno 61% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Moreno 69.1% vs model 61.4% · Morales 30.9% vs 38.6%
Lightweight
Mederos vs Jones
Model Mederos 50% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Mederos 42.9% vs model 50.4% · Jones 57.1% vs 49.6%
Lightweight
Rabadanov vs Reeder
Model Rabadanov 71% · low confidence
DK no-vig Rabadanov 78.3% vs model 71.0% · Reeder 21.7% vs 29.0%
Middleweight · 5 rds
Hernandez vs Rodrigues
Model Hernandez 67% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Hernandez 59.9% vs model 66.8% · Rodrigues 40.1% vs 33.2%
Heavyweight
Nzechukwu vs Gaziev
Model Nzechukwu 51% · low confidence
DK no-vig Nzechukwu 44.7% vs model 51.1% · Gaziev 55.3% vs 48.9%
Bantamweight
Magomedov vs Marcos
Model Magomedov 64% · low confidence
DK no-vig Magomedov 70.5% vs model 64.2% · Marcos 29.5% vs 35.8%
Flyweight
Tsuruya vs Borjas
Model Tsuruya 69% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Tsuruya 63.0% vs model 68.7% · Borjas 37.0% vs 31.3%
Women's Strawweight
Dyer vs Reed
Model Dyer 56% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Dyer 61.4% vs model 55.8% · Reed 38.6% vs 44.2%
Women's Featherweight · Title · 5 rds
Cyborg vs Vieira
Model Cyborg 69% · low confidence
DK no-vig Cyborg 74.1% vs model 68.6% · Vieira 25.9% vs 31.4%
Heavyweight
Wint vs Chatman
Model Wint 53% · low confidence
DK no-vig Wint 58.8% vs model 53.3% · Chatman 41.2% vs 46.7%
Middleweight
Schultz vs McVey
Model Schultz 38% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Schultz 43.8% vs model 38.4% · McVey 56.2% vs 61.7%
Strawweight · Title · 5 rds
Pacio vs Brooks
Model Pacio 59% · low confidence
DK no-vig Pacio 53.2% vs model 58.5% · Brooks 46.8% vs 41.5%
Featherweight
Vallejos vs Douglas
Model Vallejos 54% · medium confidence
DK no-vig Vallejos 58.8% vs model 54.1% · Douglas 41.2% vs 45.9%