Parlay desk

Pairings from the product.

Combined probability is the product of independent CORNER sides — not the sportsbook parlay screen. Pairings (2-leg) and parlays (3+) are ranked two ways: highest model product, and expected value versus compounded DraftKings juice. The line is still not an input.

UFC

UFC

Sacramento through Edmonton. Same-card pairings first, then 3- and 4-leg products of the independent sides.

37 booked bouts

PFL

PFL

Tampa window. Short cards, heavier favorites, tournament incentives. The card parlay is the whole night.

4 booked bouts

ONE

ONE

Fight Night 47 and Samurai 3. Thinner public data, wider intervals — combined numbers stay honest about that.

5 booked bouts

Cross-promotion

UFC + PFL + ONE

UFC × PFL × ONE on the same Saturday. Combined probability across cages, still independent per bout.

46 booked bouts

Same-night crossovers

  • UFC Sacramento + PFL Tampa

    Sat, Aug 22, 2026 · UFC / PFL · 17 bouts

  • UFC Paris + ONE FN 47

    Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · UFC / ONE · 9 bouts

  • Noche UFC + ONE Samurai 3

    Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · UFC / ONE · 6 bouts

Featured tickets

One pairing from each desk, plus the best cross-promotion product on the board. Open a desk to build your own.

PairingSame card
EV +$18 / $100
  1. Asakura

    over Qileng · UFC Shanghai · Bantamweight

    77%

    -220

  2. Tsuruya

    over Borjas · UFC Shanghai · Flyweight

    69%

    -190

Combined model
53.2%
Fair price
-114
DK parlay
+122
$100 returns
$222
No-vig combined
41.5%
Book decimal
2.22x
Combined probability53.2%

Model 53.2% vs DK no-vig 41.5% · +11.8% combined edge. Juice compounds — raw implied product is 45.0%. Independence assumed.

PairingSame card
EV $-23 / $100
  1. Cyborg

    over Vieira · PFL Tampa · Women's Featherweight title

    69%

    -340

  2. Rabadanov

    over Reeder · PFL Tampa · Lightweight

    71%

    -450

Combined model
48.7%
Fair price
+105
DK parlay
-172
$100 returns
$158
No-vig combined
58.0%
Book decimal
1.58x
Combined probability48.7%

Model 48.7% vs DK no-vig 58.0% · -9.3% vs market. Juice compounds — raw implied product is 63.2%. Independence assumed.

PairingSame card
EV +$5 / $100
  1. Kai

    over Le · ONE FN 47 · Featherweight title

    62%

    -165

  2. Pacio

    over Brooks · ONE FN 47 · Strawweight title

    59%

    -125

Combined model
36.3%
Fair price
+175
DK parlay
+189
$100 returns
$289
No-vig combined
31.9%
Book decimal
2.89x
Combined probability36.3%

Model 36.3% vs DK no-vig 31.9% · +4.4% combined edge. Juice compounds — raw implied product is 34.6%. Independence assumed.

PairingSame nightPFL + UFC
EV +$78 / $100
  1. Reeder

    over Rabadanov · PFL Tampa · Lightweight

    29%

    +340

  2. Petrino

    over Spivac · UFC Sacramento · Heavyweight

    55%

    +154

Combined model
15.9%
Fair price
+528
DK parlay
+1018
$100 returns
$1118
No-vig combined
8.2%
Book decimal
11.18x
Combined probability15.9%

Model 15.9% vs DK no-vig 8.2% · +7.7% combined edge. Juice compounds — raw implied product is 8.9%. Independence assumed.

Chalk + dog, mixed cages

PairingSame nightUFC + PFL
EV +$44 / $100
  1. Douglas

    over Emmers · UFC Sacramento · Featherweight

    59%

    +105

  2. Watley

    over van Steenis · PFL Tampa · Lightweight

    50%

    +140

Combined model
29.3%
Fair price
+242
DK parlay
+392
$100 returns
$492
No-vig combined
18.7%
Book decimal
4.92x
Combined probability29.3%

Model 29.3% vs DK no-vig 18.7% · +10.5% combined edge. Juice compounds — raw implied product is 20.3%. Independence assumed.

PairingSame nightONE + UFC
EV +$31 / $100
  1. Pacio

    over Brooks · ONE FN 47 · Strawweight title

    59%

    -125

  2. Ruziboev

    over Page · UFC Paris · Middleweight

    54%

    +130

Combined model
31.5%
Fair price
+217
DK parlay
+314
$100 returns
$414
No-vig combined
22.4%
Book decimal
4.14x
Combined probability31.5%

Model 31.5% vs DK no-vig 22.4% · +9.2% combined edge. Juice compounds — raw implied product is 24.2%. Independence assumed.

PairingSame nightUFC + ONE
EV +$29 / $100
  1. Lima

    over Charrière · UFC Paris · Featherweight

    69%

    -170

  2. Andrade

    over Lineker · ONE FN 47 · Bantamweight

    54%

    +120

Combined model
36.9%
Fair price
+171
DK parlay
+249
$100 returns
$349
No-vig combined
26.6%
Book decimal
3.49x
Combined probability36.9%

Model 36.9% vs DK no-vig 26.6% · +10.4% combined edge. Juice compounds — raw implied product is 28.6%. Independence assumed.