DraftKings · Fanatics
Method of victory, over/under rounds, goes the distance, inside the distance, and round of finish — the markets those books actually hang. CORNER probability is independent of the line. Edge is model minus DraftKings no-vig. A flag is a disagreement, not a ticket.
UFC Shanghai · Bantamweight · 5×5
Nurmagomedov vs YadongDraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Nurmagomedov KO/TKO
-11.2% vs DK
Model
4.8%
Fair
+1983
DraftKings
+405(19.8%)
Fanatics
+404(19.8%)
Nurmagomedov submission
-8.5% vs DK
Model
13.2%
Fair
+658
DraftKings
+274(26.7%)
Fanatics
+273(26.8%)
Nurmagomedov decision
+7.8% vs DK
Model
47.9%
Fair
+109
DraftKings
+102(49.5%)
Fanatics
+102(49.5%)
Yadong KO/TKO
-5.6% vs DK
Model
3.3%
Fair
+2977
DraftKings
+820(10.9%)
Fanatics
+827(10.8%)
Yadong submission
Model
3.2%
Fair
+3045
DraftKings
+1900(5.0%)
Fanatics
+1900(5.0%)
Yadong decision
+18.3% vs DK
Model
27.7%
Fair
+262
DraftKings
+768(11.5%)
Fanatics
+774(11.4%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 1.5 rounds
+8.5% vs DK
Model
91.2%
Fair
-1036
DraftKings
-658(86.8%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 1.5 rounds
-8.5% vs DK
Model
8.8%
Fair
+1036
DraftKings
+450(18.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Over 2.5 rounds
+12.7% vs DK
Model
86.4%
Fair
-635
DraftKings
-350(77.8%)
Fanatics
-351(77.8%)
Under 2.5 rounds
-12.7% vs DK
Model
13.6%
Fair
+635
DraftKings
+261(27.7%)
Fanatics
+261(27.7%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 3.5 rounds
+17.9% vs DK
Model
82.0%
Fair
-456
DraftKings
-209(67.6%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 3.5 rounds
-17.9% vs DK
Model
18.0%
Fair
+456
DraftKings
+164(37.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 4.5 rounds
+23.0% vs DK
Model
77.7%
Fair
-348
DraftKings
-138(58.0%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 4.5 rounds
-23.0% vs DK
Model
22.3%
Fair
+348
DraftKings
+108(48.1%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Goes the distance
+24.6% vs DK
Model
75.6%
Fair
-309
DraftKings
-117(53.9%)
Fanatics
-117(53.9%)
Does not go the distance
-24.6% vs DK
Model
24.4%
Fair
+309
DraftKings
-108(51.9%)
Fanatics
-108(51.9%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Nurmagomedov inside the distance
-20.2% vs DK
Model
18.0%
Fair
+456
DraftKings
+146(40.7%)
Fanatics
+146(40.7%)
Nurmagomedov not inside the distance
+20.2% vs DK
Model
82.0%
Fair
-456
DraftKings
-193(65.9%)
Fanatics
-192(65.8%)
Yadong inside the distance
-5.5% vs DK
Model
6.4%
Fair
+1455
DraftKings
+688(12.7%)
Fanatics
+694(12.6%)
Yadong not inside the distance
+5.5% vs DK
Model
93.6%
Fair
-1455
DraftKings
-1516(93.8%)
Fanatics
-1543(93.9%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Fight ends in round 1
-3.3% vs DK
Model
8.8%
Fair
+1036
DraftKings
+598(14.3%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 2
-6.2% vs DK
Model
4.8%
Fair
+1983
DraftKings
+670(13.0%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 3
-6.2% vs DK
Model
4.4%
Fair
+2173
DraftKings
+699(12.5%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 4
-6.1% vs DK
Model
4.3%
Fair
+2226
DraftKings
+718(12.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 5
-8.1% vs DK
Model
2.1%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+732(12.0%)
Fanatics
Not posted
UFC Shanghai · Women's Strawweight · 3×5
Xiaonan vs GomesDraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Xiaonan KO/TKO
-17.8% vs DK
Model
5.2%
Fair
+1827
DraftKings
+254(28.2%)
Fanatics
+253(28.3%)
Xiaonan submission
Model
2.2%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+1900(5.0%)
Fanatics
+1900(5.0%)
Xiaonan decision
+5.9% vs DK
Model
41.4%
Fair
+142
DraftKings
+129(43.7%)
Fanatics
+128(43.9%)
Gomes KO/TKO
-9.6% vs DK
Model
7.3%
Fair
+1261
DraftKings
+380(20.8%)
Fanatics
+383(20.7%)
Gomes submission
Model
4.7%
Fair
+2019
DraftKings
+1680(5.6%)
Fanatics
+1688(5.6%)
Gomes decision
+23.2% vs DK
Model
39.2%
Fair
+155
DraftKings
+410(19.6%)
Fanatics
+412(19.5%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 1.5 rounds
+13.1% vs DK
Model
89.2%
Fair
-826
DraftKings
-397(79.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 1.5 rounds
-13.1% vs DK
Model
10.8%
Fair
+826
DraftKings
+298(25.1%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Over 2.5 rounds
+22.9% vs DK
Model
83.3%
Fair
-499
DraftKings
-176(63.8%)
Fanatics
-176(63.8%)
Under 2.5 rounds
-22.9% vs DK
Model
16.7%
Fair
+499
DraftKings
+139(41.8%)
Fanatics
+140(41.7%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Goes the distance
+27.7% vs DK
Model
80.6%
Fair
-414
DraftKings
-127(55.9%)
Fanatics
-128(56.1%)
Does not go the distance
-27.7% vs DK
Model
19.4%
Fair
+414
DraftKings
+100(50.0%)
Fanatics
+100(50.0%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Xiaonan inside the distance
-19.1% vs DK
Model
7.4%
Fair
+1255
DraftKings
+255(28.2%)
Fanatics
+254(28.2%)
Xiaonan not inside the distance
+19.1% vs DK
Model
92.6%
Fair
-1255
DraftKings
-361(78.3%)
Fanatics
-359(78.2%)
Gomes inside the distance
-9.6% vs DK
Model
12.1%
Fair
+729
DraftKings
+333(23.1%)
Fanatics
+335(23.0%)
Gomes not inside the distance
+9.6% vs DK
Model
87.9%
Fair
-729
DraftKings
-503(83.4%)
Fanatics
-507(83.5%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Fight ends in round 1
-5.4% vs DK
Model
10.8%
Fair
+826
DraftKings
+426(19.0%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 2
-11.9% vs DK
Model
5.9%
Fair
+1595
DraftKings
+378(20.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 3
-15.7% vs DK
Model
2.7%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+361(21.7%)
Fanatics
Not posted
UFC Shanghai · Bantamweight · 3×5
Qileng vs AsakuraDraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Qileng KO/TKO
-8.8% vs DK
Model
3.0%
Fair
+3189
DraftKings
+595(14.4%)
Fanatics
+586(14.6%)
Qileng submission
-5.4% vs DK
Model
2.6%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+931(9.7%)
Fanatics
+917(9.8%)
Qileng decision
Model
17.0%
Fair
+490
DraftKings
+467(17.6%)
Fanatics
+460(17.9%)
Asakura KO/TKO
-18.8% vs DK
Model
19.8%
Fair
+404
DraftKings
+112(47.2%)
Fanatics
+113(46.9%)
Asakura submission
-3.6% vs DK
Model
6.5%
Fair
+1434
DraftKings
+713(12.3%)
Fanatics
+719(12.2%)
Asakura decision
+34.0% vs DK
Model
51.1%
Fair
-104
DraftKings
+380(20.8%)
Fanatics
+384(20.7%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 1.5 rounds
+16.8% vs DK
Model
82.3%
Fair
-465
DraftKings
-220(68.8%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 1.5 rounds
-16.8% vs DK
Model
17.7%
Fair
+465
DraftKings
+176(36.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Over 2.5 rounds
+29.3% vs DK
Model
72.6%
Fair
-265
DraftKings
+119(45.7%)
Fanatics
+119(45.7%)
Under 2.5 rounds
-29.3% vs DK
Model
27.4%
Fair
+265
DraftKings
-149(59.8%)
Fanatics
-149(59.8%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Goes the distance
+35.5% vs DK
Model
68.0%
Fair
-213
DraftKings
+190(34.5%)
Fanatics
+190(34.5%)
Does not go the distance
-35.5% vs DK
Model
32.0%
Fair
+213
DraftKings
-251(71.5%)
Fanatics
-250(71.4%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Qileng inside the distance
-14.1% vs DK
Model
5.6%
Fair
+1686
DraftKings
+376(21.0%)
Fanatics
+369(21.3%)
Qileng not inside the distance
+14.1% vs DK
Model
94.4%
Fair
-1686
DraftKings
-588(85.5%)
Fanatics
-575(85.2%)
Asakura inside the distance
-22.4% vs DK
Model
26.4%
Fair
+279
DraftKings
-108(51.9%)
Fanatics
-106(51.5%)
Asakura not inside the distance
+22.4% vs DK
Model
73.6%
Fair
-279
DraftKings
-120(54.5%)
Fanatics
-122(55.0%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Fight ends in round 1
-5.5% vs DK
Model
17.7%
Fair
+465
DraftKings
+253(28.3%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 2
-14.4% vs DK
Model
9.7%
Fair
+931
DraftKings
+239(29.5%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 3
-19.9% vs DK
Model
4.6%
Fair
+2088
DraftKings
+234(29.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
UFC Shanghai · Flyweight · 3×5
Mudaerji vs PerezDraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Mudaerji KO/TKO
-12.7% vs DK
Model
7.2%
Fair
+1285
DraftKings
+311(24.3%)
Fanatics
+306(24.6%)
Mudaerji submission
-4.0% vs DK
Model
5.0%
Fair
+1900
DraftKings
+809(11.0%)
Fanatics
+800(11.1%)
Mudaerji decision
+18.3% vs DK
Model
34.1%
Fair
+193
DraftKings
+420(19.2%)
Fanatics
+414(19.5%)
Perez KO/TKO
-11.9% vs DK
Model
6.1%
Fair
+1547
DraftKings
+357(21.9%)
Fanatics
+361(21.7%)
Perez submission
-6.7% vs DK
Model
8.7%
Fair
+1051
DraftKings
+434(18.7%)
Fanatics
+439(18.6%)
Perez decision
+17.0% vs DK
Model
38.9%
Fair
+157
DraftKings
+273(26.8%)
Fanatics
+276(26.6%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 1.5 rounds
+17.6% vs DK
Model
85.0%
Fair
-567
DraftKings
-241(70.7%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 1.5 rounds
-17.6% vs DK
Model
15.0%
Fair
+567
DraftKings
+192(34.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Over 2.5 rounds
+29.0% vs DK
Model
76.9%
Fair
-333
DraftKings
-102(50.5%)
Fanatics
-102(50.5%)
Under 2.5 rounds
-29.0% vs DK
Model
23.1%
Fair
+333
DraftKings
-122(55.0%)
Fanatics
-122(55.0%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Goes the distance
+34.2% vs DK
Model
73.0%
Fair
-271
DraftKings
+143(41.2%)
Fanatics
+144(41.0%)
Does not go the distance
-34.2% vs DK
Model
27.0%
Fair
+271
DraftKings
-185(64.9%)
Fanatics
-185(64.9%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Mudaerji inside the distance
-16.8% vs DK
Model
12.2%
Fair
+718
DraftKings
+224(30.9%)
Fanatics
+221(31.2%)
Mudaerji not inside the distance
+16.8% vs DK
Model
87.8%
Fair
-718
DraftKings
-311(75.7%)
Fanatics
-305(75.3%)
Perez inside the distance
-18.5% vs DK
Model
14.8%
Fair
+578
DraftKings
+182(35.5%)
Fanatics
+185(35.1%)
Perez not inside the distance
+18.5% vs DK
Model
85.2%
Fair
-578
DraftKings
-245(71.0%)
Fanatics
-249(71.3%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Fight ends in round 1
-7.6% vs DK
Model
15.0%
Fair
+567
DraftKings
+267(27.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 2
-13.7% vs DK
Model
8.1%
Fair
+1135
DraftKings
+279(26.4%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 3
-17.7% vs DK
Model
3.9%
Fair
+2471
DraftKings
+284(26.0%)
Fanatics
Not posted
UFC Shanghai · Light Heavyweight · 3×5
Ce vs TafaDraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Ce KO/TKO
Model
20.5%
Fair
+387
DraftKings
+255(28.2%)
Fanatics
+251(28.5%)
Ce submission
-3.1% vs DK
Model
2.4%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+1390(6.7%)
Fanatics
+1373(6.8%)
Ce decision
+21.5% vs DK
Model
34.9%
Fair
+186
DraftKings
+510(16.4%)
Fanatics
+503(16.6%)
Tafa KO/TKO
-23.3% vs DK
Model
11.6%
Fair
+764
DraftKings
+135(42.6%)
Fanatics
+137(42.2%)
Tafa submission
-3.8% vs DK
Model
1.8%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+1373(6.8%)
Fanatics
+1385(6.7%)
Tafa decision
+11.3% vs DK
Model
28.8%
Fair
+247
DraftKings
+369(21.3%)
Fanatics
+373(21.1%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 1.5 rounds
+13.8% vs DK
Model
79.9%
Fair
-398
DraftKings
-227(69.4%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 1.5 rounds
-13.8% vs DK
Model
20.1%
Fair
+398
DraftKings
+181(35.6%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Over 2.5 rounds
+25.7% vs DK
Model
68.9%
Fair
-222
DraftKings
+119(45.7%)
Fanatics
+119(45.7%)
Under 2.5 rounds
-25.7% vs DK
Model
31.1%
Fair
+222
DraftKings
-150(60.0%)
Fanatics
-150(60.0%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Goes the distance
+31.8% vs DK
Model
63.7%
Fair
-176
DraftKings
+196(33.8%)
Fanatics
+195(33.9%)
Does not go the distance
-31.8% vs DK
Model
36.3%
Fair
+176
DraftKings
-259(72.1%)
Fanatics
-259(72.1%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Ce inside the distance
-5.6% vs DK
Model
23.0%
Fair
+336
DraftKings
+229(30.4%)
Fanatics
+225(30.8%)
Ce not inside the distance
+5.6% vs DK
Model
77.0%
Fair
-336
DraftKings
-318(76.1%)
Fanatics
-312(75.7%)
Tafa inside the distance
-27.2% vs DK
Model
13.3%
Fair
+650
DraftKings
+132(43.1%)
Fanatics
+134(42.7%)
Tafa not inside the distance
+27.2% vs DK
Model
86.7%
Fair
-650
DraftKings
-173(63.4%)
Fanatics
-176(63.8%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Fight ends in round 1
Model
20.1%
Fair
+398
DraftKings
+267(27.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 2
-13.6% vs DK
Model
11.0%
Fair
+809
DraftKings
+233(30.0%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 3
-20.3% vs DK
Model
5.2%
Fair
+1827
DraftKings
+221(31.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
UFC Shanghai · Featherweight · 3×5
Hasan vs RojasDraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Hasan KO/TKO
-14.4% vs DK
Model
6.7%
Fair
+1388
DraftKings
+287(25.8%)
Fanatics
+287(25.8%)
Hasan submission
-3.9% vs DK
Model
12.5%
Fair
+702
DraftKings
+401(20.0%)
Fanatics
+401(20.0%)
Hasan decision
+20.9% vs DK
Model
40.5%
Fair
+147
DraftKings
+318(23.9%)
Fanatics
+318(23.9%)
Rojas KO/TKO
-12.1% vs DK
Model
5.2%
Fair
+1838
DraftKings
+375(21.1%)
Fanatics
+376(21.0%)
Rojas submission
-3.2% vs DK
Model
6.3%
Fair
+1495
DraftKings
+761(11.6%)
Fanatics
+762(11.6%)
Rojas decision
+12.8% vs DK
Model
28.9%
Fair
+246
DraftKings
+408(19.7%)
Fanatics
+409(19.6%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 1.5 rounds
+16.8% vs DK
Model
83.0%
Fair
-488
DraftKings
-228(69.5%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 1.5 rounds
-16.8% vs DK
Model
17.0%
Fair
+488
DraftKings
+182(35.5%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Over 2.5 rounds
+27.6% vs DK
Model
73.8%
Fair
-282
DraftKings
+105(48.8%)
Fanatics
+105(48.8%)
Under 2.5 rounds
-27.6% vs DK
Model
26.2%
Fair
+282
DraftKings
-132(56.9%)
Fanatics
-132(56.9%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Goes the distance
+32.7% vs DK
Model
69.4%
Fair
-227
DraftKings
+157(38.9%)
Fanatics
+157(38.9%)
Does not go the distance
-32.7% vs DK
Model
30.6%
Fair
+227
DraftKings
-204(67.1%)
Fanatics
-204(67.1%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Hasan inside the distance
-18.3% vs DK
Model
19.2%
Fair
+421
DraftKings
+150(40.0%)
Fanatics
+150(40.0%)
Hasan not inside the distance
+18.3% vs DK
Model
80.8%
Fair
-421
DraftKings
-199(66.6%)
Fanatics
-199(66.6%)
Rojas inside the distance
-15.3% vs DK
Model
11.4%
Fair
+775
DraftKings
+251(28.5%)
Fanatics
+251(28.5%)
Rojas not inside the distance
+15.3% vs DK
Model
88.6%
Fair
-775
DraftKings
-355(78.0%)
Fanatics
-355(78.0%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Fight ends in round 1
-6.4% vs DK
Model
17.0%
Fair
+488
DraftKings
+253(28.3%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 2
-13.2% vs DK
Model
9.2%
Fair
+987
DraftKings
+268(27.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 3
-17.7% vs DK
Model
4.4%
Fair
+2162
DraftKings
+273(26.8%)
Fanatics
Not posted