DraftKings · Fanatics
Method of victory, over/under rounds, goes the distance, inside the distance, and round of finish — the markets those books actually hang. CORNER probability is independent of the line. Edge is model minus DraftKings no-vig. A flag is a disagreement, not a ticket.
PFL Tampa · Women's Featherweight · Title · 5×5
Cyborg vs VieiraDraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Cyborg KO/TKO
-33.9% vs DK
Model
10.5%
Fair
+848
DraftKings
-118(54.1%)
Fanatics
-119(54.3%)
Cyborg submission
Model
3.3%
Fair
+2977
DraftKings
+1453(6.4%)
Fanatics
+1449(6.5%)
Cyborg decision
+30.4% vs DK
Model
54.8%
Fair
-121
DraftKings
+237(29.7%)
Fanatics
+236(29.8%)
Vieira KO/TKO
-4.6% vs DK
Model
1.7%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+1194(7.7%)
Fanatics
+1204(7.7%)
Vieira submission
Model
4.0%
Fair
+2369
DraftKings
+1343(6.9%)
Fanatics
+1354(6.9%)
Vieira decision
+11.7% vs DK
Model
25.7%
Fair
+290
DraftKings
+490(16.9%)
Fanatics
+494(16.8%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 1.5 rounds
+11.1% vs DK
Model
93.0%
Fair
-1329
DraftKings
-613(86.0%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 1.5 rounds
-11.1% vs DK
Model
7.0%
Fair
+1329
DraftKings
+426(19.0%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Over 2.5 rounds
+18.6% vs DK
Model
89.1%
Fair
-817
DraftKings
-290(74.4%)
Fanatics
-290(74.4%)
Under 2.5 rounds
-18.6% vs DK
Model
10.9%
Fair
+817
DraftKings
+221(31.2%)
Fanatics
+221(31.2%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 3.5 rounds
+27.8% vs DK
Model
85.5%
Fair
-590
DraftKings
-156(60.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 3.5 rounds
-27.8% vs DK
Model
14.5%
Fair
+590
DraftKings
+124(44.6%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 4.5 rounds
+37.3% vs DK
Model
82.1%
Fair
-459
DraftKings
+111(47.4%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 4.5 rounds
-37.3% vs DK
Model
17.9%
Fair
+459
DraftKings
-141(58.5%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Goes the distance
+41.1% vs DK
Model
80.4%
Fair
-411
DraftKings
+140(41.7%)
Fanatics
+141(41.5%)
Does not go the distance
-41.1% vs DK
Model
19.6%
Fair
+411
DraftKings
-181(64.4%)
Fanatics
-181(64.4%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Cyborg inside the distance
-36.0% vs DK
Model
13.8%
Fair
+625
DraftKings
-113(53.1%)
Fanatics
-113(53.1%)
Cyborg not inside the distance
+36.0% vs DK
Model
86.2%
Fair
-625
DraftKings
-115(53.5%)
Fanatics
-115(53.5%)
Vieira inside the distance
-6.2% vs DK
Model
5.8%
Fair
+1630
DraftKings
+681(12.8%)
Fanatics
+688(12.7%)
Vieira not inside the distance
+6.2% vs DK
Model
94.2%
Fair
-1630
DraftKings
-1488(93.7%)
Fanatics
-1514(93.8%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Fight ends in round 1
-4.9% vs DK
Model
6.9%
Fair
+1352
DraftKings
+603(14.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 2
-9.0% vs DK
Model
3.8%
Fair
+2506
DraftKings
+543(15.6%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 3
-9.8% vs DK
Model
3.5%
Fair
+2723
DraftKings
+522(16.1%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 4
-10.3% vs DK
Model
3.3%
Fair
+2889
DraftKings
+508(16.4%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 5
-11.9% vs DK
Model
2.0%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+498(16.7%)
Fanatics
Not posted
PFL Tampa · Lightweight · 3×5
Rabadanov vs ReederDraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Rabadanov KO/TKO
-19.4% vs DK
Model
7.5%
Fair
+1225
DraftKings
+204(32.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Rabadanov submission
-4.7% vs DK
Model
8.6%
Fair
+1059
DraftKings
+516(16.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Rabadanov decision
+16.8% vs DK
Model
54.8%
Fair
-121
DraftKings
+116(46.3%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Reeder KO/TKO
-6.0% vs DK
Model
3.0%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+818(10.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Reeder submission
Model
4.2%
Fair
+2264
DraftKings
+1768(5.4%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Reeder decision
+13.4% vs DK
Model
21.8%
Fair
+359
DraftKings
+874(10.3%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Over 2.5 rounds
+24.7% vs DK
Model
80.0%
Fair
-400
DraftKings
-140(58.3%)
Fanatics
-142(58.7%)
Under 2.5 rounds
-24.7% vs DK
Model
20.0%
Fair
+400
DraftKings
+112(47.2%)
Fanatics
+111(47.4%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Goes the distance
+29.2% vs DK
Model
76.6%
Fair
-327
DraftKings
-101(50.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Does not go the distance
-29.2% vs DK
Model
23.4%
Fair
+327
DraftKings
-126(55.8%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Rabadanov inside the distance
-24.1% vs DK
Model
16.2%
Fair
+518
DraftKings
+133(42.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Rabadanov not inside the distance
+24.1% vs DK
Model
83.8%
Fair
-518
DraftKings
-175(63.6%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Reeder inside the distance
-6.1% vs DK
Model
7.2%
Fair
+1287
DraftKings
+605(14.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Reeder not inside the distance
+6.1% vs DK
Model
92.8%
Fair
-1287
DraftKings
-1201(92.3%)
Fanatics
Not posted
PFL Tampa · Lightweight · 3×5
van Steenis vs WatleyDraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
van Steenis KO/TKO
-18.2% vs DK
Model
6.9%
Fair
+1360
DraftKings
+227(30.6%)
Fanatics
Not posted
van Steenis submission
-4.4% vs DK
Model
6.7%
Fair
+1393
DraftKings
+640(13.5%)
Fanatics
Not posted
van Steenis decision
+12.7% vs DK
Model
36.5%
Fair
+174
DraftKings
+245(29.0%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Watley KO/TKO
-9.7% vs DK
Model
6.4%
Fair
+1455
DraftKings
+409(19.6%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Watley submission
Model
9.4%
Fair
+968
DraftKings
+652(13.3%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Watley decision
+21.1% vs DK
Model
34.2%
Fair
+193
DraftKings
+527(15.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Over 2.5 rounds
+27.5% vs DK
Model
74.9%
Fair
-298
DraftKings
+100(50.0%)
Fanatics
-101(50.2%)
Under 2.5 rounds
-27.5% vs DK
Model
25.1%
Fair
+298
DraftKings
-125(55.6%)
Fanatics
-127(55.9%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Goes the distance
+32.8% vs DK
Model
70.7%
Fair
-241
DraftKings
+149(40.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Does not go the distance
-32.8% vs DK
Model
29.3%
Fair
+241
DraftKings
-193(65.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
van Steenis inside the distance
-22.6% vs DK
Model
13.6%
Fair
+638
DraftKings
+160(38.5%)
Fanatics
Not posted
van Steenis not inside the distance
+22.6% vs DK
Model
86.5%
Fair
-638
DraftKings
-213(68.1%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Watley inside the distance
-11.3% vs DK
Model
15.8%
Fair
+533
DraftKings
+247(28.8%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Watley not inside the distance
+11.3% vs DK
Model
84.2%
Fair
-533
DraftKings
-349(77.7%)
Fanatics
Not posted
PFL Tampa · Bantamweight · 3×5
Magomedov vs MarcosDraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Magomedov KO/TKO
-11.6% vs DK
Model
4.9%
Fair
+1924
DraftKings
+395(20.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Magomedov submission
-10.7% vs DK
Model
20.9%
Fair
+379
DraftKings
+159(38.6%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Magomedov decision
+16.0% vs DK
Model
38.4%
Fair
+160
DraftKings
+266(27.3%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Marcos KO/TKO
-7.9% vs DK
Model
4.7%
Fair
+2010
DraftKings
+546(15.5%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Marcos submission
Model
5.6%
Fair
+1689
DraftKings
+1216(7.6%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Marcos decision
+14.9% vs DK
Model
25.4%
Fair
+293
DraftKings
+677(12.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Over 2.5 rounds
+25.9% vs DK
Model
69.0%
Fair
-223
DraftKings
+120(45.5%)
Fanatics
+119(45.7%)
Under 2.5 rounds
-25.9% vs DK
Model
31.0%
Fair
+223
DraftKings
-150(60.0%)
Fanatics
-152(60.3%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Goes the distance
+29.9% vs DK
Model
63.9%
Fair
-177
DraftKings
+178(36.0%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Does not go the distance
-29.9% vs DK
Model
36.1%
Fair
+177
DraftKings
-234(70.1%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Magomedov inside the distance
-22.3% vs DK
Model
25.8%
Fair
+287
DraftKings
-105(51.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Magomedov not inside the distance
+22.3% vs DK
Model
74.2%
Fair
-287
DraftKings
-123(55.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Marcos inside the distance
-8.6% vs DK
Model
10.3%
Fair
+868
DraftKings
+397(20.1%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Marcos not inside the distance
+8.6% vs DK
Model
89.7%
Fair
-868
DraftKings
-633(86.4%)
Fanatics
Not posted