DraftKings · Fanatics
Method of victory, over/under rounds, goes the distance, inside the distance, and round of finish — the markets those books actually hang. CORNER probability is independent of the line. Edge is model minus DraftKings no-vig. A flag is a disagreement, not a ticket.
ONE FN 47 · Featherweight · Title · 5×5
Kai vs LeDraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Kai KO/TKO
-17.1% vs DK
Model
12.9%
Fair
+673
DraftKings
+172(36.8%)
Fanatics
+171(36.9%)
Kai submission
Model
2.6%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+1900(5.0%)
Fanatics
+1900(5.0%)
Kai decision
+20.6% vs DK
Model
46.5%
Fair
+115
DraftKings
+215(31.7%)
Fanatics
+214(31.8%)
Le KO/TKO
-14.2% vs DK
Model
7.4%
Fair
+1244
DraftKings
+278(26.5%)
Fanatics
+279(26.4%)
Le submission
Model
2.2%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+1790(5.3%)
Fanatics
+1797(5.3%)
Le decision
+14.3% vs DK
Model
28.3%
Fair
+253
DraftKings
+482(17.2%)
Fanatics
+484(17.1%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 1.5 rounds
+8.2% vs DK
Model
90.9%
Fair
-999
DraftKings
-663(86.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 1.5 rounds
-8.2% vs DK
Model
9.1%
Fair
+999
DraftKings
+452(18.1%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Over 2.5 rounds
+14.2% vs DK
Model
86.0%
Fair
-614
DraftKings
-311(75.7%)
Fanatics
-312(75.7%)
Under 2.5 rounds
-14.2% vs DK
Model
14.0%
Fair
+614
DraftKings
+236(29.8%)
Fanatics
+236(29.8%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 3.5 rounds
+22.1% vs DK
Model
81.4%
Fair
-438
DraftKings
-167(62.5%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 3.5 rounds
-22.1% vs DK
Model
18.6%
Fair
+438
DraftKings
+133(42.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 4.5 rounds
+30.5% vs DK
Model
77.0%
Fair
-335
DraftKings
+103(49.3%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 4.5 rounds
-30.5% vs DK
Model
23.0%
Fair
+335
DraftKings
-131(56.7%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Goes the distance
+33.6% vs DK
Model
74.8%
Fair
-297
DraftKings
+129(43.7%)
Fanatics
+129(43.7%)
Does not go the distance
-33.6% vs DK
Model
25.2%
Fair
+297
DraftKings
-166(62.4%)
Fanatics
-166(62.4%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Kai inside the distance
-18.4% vs DK
Model
15.5%
Fair
+544
DraftKings
+177(36.1%)
Fanatics
+177(36.1%)
Kai not inside the distance
+18.4% vs DK
Model
84.5%
Fair
-544
DraftKings
-238(70.4%)
Fanatics
-237(70.3%)
Le inside the distance
-16.3% vs DK
Model
9.7%
Fair
+934
DraftKings
+261(27.7%)
Fanatics
+262(27.6%)
Le not inside the distance
+16.3% vs DK
Model
90.3%
Fair
-934
DraftKings
-372(78.8%)
Fanatics
-374(78.9%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Fight ends in round 1
Model
9.1%
Fair
+999
DraftKings
+646(13.4%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 2
-7.6% vs DK
Model
4.9%
Fair
+1941
DraftKings
+567(15.0%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 3
-8.4% vs DK
Model
4.6%
Fair
+2074
DraftKings
+538(15.7%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 4
-9.0% vs DK
Model
4.4%
Fair
+2173
DraftKings
+520(16.1%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 5
-11.5% vs DK
Model
2.2%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+508(16.4%)
Fanatics
Not posted
ONE FN 47 · Bantamweight · 3×5
Lineker vs AndradeDraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Lineker KO/TKO
-17.7% vs DK
Model
6.6%
Fair
+1406
DraftKings
+237(29.7%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Lineker submission
-4.3% vs DK
Model
4.0%
Fair
+2432
DraftKings
+896(10.0%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Lineker decision
+12.1% vs DK
Model
35.8%
Fair
+179
DraftKings
+246(28.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Andrade KO/TKO
-14.0% vs DK
Model
6.7%
Fair
+1404
DraftKings
+296(25.3%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Andrade submission
Model
6.7%
Fair
+1388
DraftKings
+825(10.8%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Andrade decision
+26.0% vs DK
Model
40.3%
Fair
+148
DraftKings
+476(17.4%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Over 2.5 rounds
+31.0% vs DK
Model
79.5%
Fair
-388
DraftKings
-105(51.2%)
Fanatics
-106(51.5%)
Under 2.5 rounds
-31.0% vs DK
Model
20.5%
Fair
+388
DraftKings
-119(54.3%)
Fanatics
-120(54.5%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Goes the distance
+37.2% vs DK
Model
76.0%
Fair
-318
DraftKings
+143(41.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Does not go the distance
-37.2% vs DK
Model
24.0%
Fair
+318
DraftKings
-184(64.8%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Lineker inside the distance
-22.0% vs DK
Model
10.6%
Fair
+844
DraftKings
+188(34.7%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Lineker not inside the distance
+22.0% vs DK
Model
89.4%
Fair
-844
DraftKings
-255(71.8%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Andrade inside the distance
-16.2% vs DK
Model
13.4%
Fair
+648
DraftKings
+217(31.5%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Andrade not inside the distance
+16.2% vs DK
Model
86.6%
Fair
-648
DraftKings
-300(75.0%)
Fanatics
Not posted
ONE FN 47 · Strawweight · Title · 5×5
Pacio vs BrooksDraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Pacio KO/TKO
-12.7% vs DK
Model
5.0%
Fair
+1904
DraftKings
+364(21.6%)
Fanatics
+365(21.5%)
Pacio submission
Model
10.5%
Fair
+851
DraftKings
+580(14.7%)
Fanatics
+581(14.7%)
Pacio decision
+19.5% vs DK
Model
43.0%
Fair
+132
DraftKings
+248(28.7%)
Fanatics
+248(28.7%)
Brooks KO/TKO
-9.4% vs DK
Model
2.8%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+573(14.9%)
Fanatics
+572(14.9%)
Brooks submission
-3.3% vs DK
Model
10.7%
Fair
+832
DraftKings
+483(17.2%)
Fanatics
+483(17.2%)
Brooks decision
+7.5% vs DK
Model
28.0%
Fair
+257
DraftKings
+300(25.0%)
Fanatics
+299(25.1%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 1.5 rounds
+8.5% vs DK
Model
89.6%
Fair
-862
DraftKings
-571(85.1%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 1.5 rounds
-8.5% vs DK
Model
10.4%
Fair
+862
DraftKings
+403(19.9%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Over 2.5 rounds
+13.0% vs DK
Model
83.9%
Fair
-521
DraftKings
-297(74.8%)
Fanatics
-297(74.8%)
Under 2.5 rounds
-13.0% vs DK
Model
16.1%
Fair
+521
DraftKings
+226(30.7%)
Fanatics
+226(30.7%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 3.5 rounds
+18.6% vs DK
Model
78.6%
Fair
-367
DraftKings
-173(63.4%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 3.5 rounds
-18.6% vs DK
Model
21.4%
Fair
+367
DraftKings
+137(42.2%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Over 4.5 rounds
+24.1% vs DK
Model
73.5%
Fair
-277
DraftKings
-110(52.4%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Under 4.5 rounds
-24.1% vs DK
Model
26.5%
Fair
+277
DraftKings
-116(53.7%)
Fanatics
Not posted
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Goes the distance
+25.9% vs DK
Model
71.0%
Fair
-245
DraftKings
+109(47.8%)
Fanatics
+109(47.8%)
Does not go the distance
-25.9% vs DK
Model
29.0%
Fair
+245
DraftKings
-139(58.2%)
Fanatics
-139(58.2%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics posted
Pacio inside the distance
-14.2% vs DK
Model
15.5%
Fair
+545
DraftKings
+216(31.6%)
Fanatics
+216(31.6%)
Pacio not inside the distance
+14.2% vs DK
Model
84.5%
Fair
-545
DraftKings
-298(74.9%)
Fanatics
-298(74.9%)
Brooks inside the distance
-12.7% vs DK
Model
13.5%
Fair
+641
DraftKings
+258(27.9%)
Fanatics
+258(27.9%)
Brooks not inside the distance
+12.7% vs DK
Model
86.5%
Fair
-641
DraftKings
-366(78.5%)
Fanatics
-366(78.5%)
DraftKings posted · Fanatics not posted
Fight ends in round 1
Model
10.4%
Fair
+862
DraftKings
+538(15.7%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 2
-6.4% vs DK
Model
5.7%
Fair
+1654
DraftKings
+591(14.5%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 3
-6.5% vs DK
Model
5.3%
Fair
+1787
DraftKings
+611(14.1%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 4
-6.4% vs DK
Model
5.1%
Fair
+1861
DraftKings
+625(13.8%)
Fanatics
Not posted
Fight ends in round 5
-8.9% vs DK
Model
2.5%
Fair
+3233
DraftKings
+635(13.6%)
Fanatics
Not posted